College Playoff Predictions

blog bamauga

The College Football Playoff has prompted a new era to NCAAF. Arguably, for better orfor worse; one thing is for certain: the playoff allows for more teams to take home the true crown. Think about it, would the NFL playoffs be as entertaining and/or dramatic is the best AFC team and best NFC (in the regular season) met for one last and final game? No. Adding a few extra games provides multiple positive factors. First, it increases revenue for the super giant that college football is. Second, it allows for fans to tune in for more games (i.e. more entertainment.) Third, it creates opportunity for sponsorship and television programs to enhance their market(s).

Before I get into the 2018 Championship match-up between the Bulldogs of Georgia and the Tide of Alabama, I would like to share with you all something very interesting that I discovered over recent weeks. First, a pop quiz (if you will) – take a look at these two images and ponder: “What is wrong (or awesome!) about these two offered lines…

Now that you have looked over these two images, what is wrong with them? You will notice that in both of the provided images both of the underdogs are each getting a 1/2 point to cover the spread offered at -110 for both. As we know, you cannot win or lose a game (or half) by a half point. You would either win, loses, or tie (tie if it is a halftime line.) To the right of each line, you will see the underdogs’ money line. One of the money lines offered is EV (even), while the other is at +100 (also EV). There is a loop hole in each of these lines, what is it?! Since a team cannot win or lose by a 1/2 point, you are better off taking the money line straight up . This way you do not have to fall victim to the “juice” or “vig” that the house makes off you. Now, instead of gambling $110 to win $100, you only have to wager $100 to win $100, and so on! You’re welcome.

As you tune in tomorrow at 7pm CST to watch the College Football Playoff Championship, keep these things in mind. You will notice that game lines offered (from books that I have seen) opened the lines at Alabama (-4.5). As of right now, I see the line shifting in Georgia’s favor now at Alabama (-3.5). A lot of the money is being generated towards the Dawgs. Given the attention each and every year that this game provides makes for a line that will have little to no loop holes. Hence, this line will always be very sharp. If you decide to go with the Tide this Monday, do so at your own risk!

Injury Report:

Alabama starters listed as OUT (OL, LB, LB)

Georgia starters listed as OUT (none)

Prediction: 24 – 20 GEORGIA

***Stay tuned for more NCAAB news and tips! As always, best of luck.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s