I will be the first to admit that I have been on quite the losing skid. My BR (bankroll) is in the midst of a downward spiral. However, I like to look at it as an opportunity for learning as oppose to simply losing money. With all things aside, I would like to encourage the reader to utilize the algorithm that is demonstrated in one of my recent posts titled, Week 3, Already?!. I have been keeping track, this equation has been having quite the success. It has been hitting at a 70% clip (give or take) on a weekly bases.
So what have we learned from this NFL season thus far? We have learned that the teams with prior success are continuing to have success (New England, Pittsburgh, and Seahawks) are playing as many expected them to play. However, there have been some up and coming contenders, such as the Eagles, Rams, Jaguars, and Vikings. I would venture off to guess that these types of franchises will continue to stay hungry and compete every single game to ensure their playoff bids. I would like to think that the recent “winning” programs will begin to go through the motions until the blistering cold playoffs great us. It is by no means a knock on these historic programs, I am only stating that the majority of these teams have essentially punched their tickets into postseason football and may display a lack of “hunger.” Do NOT be afraid to make your plays against these NFL giants!
As of late, I have wanted to locate where I could find the “sharpest” lines that are offered on the market. I wanted to do so to enable myself to know if I was getting a “fair” line through my personal bookie MYBOOKIE. I would like the reader to understand the importance in this. It is imperative to have access to the “sharpest” line possible before making your plays. These sharp lines can be found at PINNACLE SPORTS. Pinnacle Sports is an offshore sports book that is said to offer the most accurate lines of all. I am not pushing you to use them as your personal bookie, just as a window shopping experience, if you will.
For Week 13 of this NFL season, remember to shop around and compare lines. Look to see who the majority of the lines are leaning towards. If your personal bookies offers a line that is favorable to the likes, go ahead and make a play! Also, keep betting those UNDERS and UNDERDOGS!
“SQUARES GUESS, SHARPS CALCULATE.” – Poker Joe
***Stay tuned for some NCAAB tips as its season is in full swing!
The college basketball season has officially tipped off. Today’s Top 25 match-ups feature 17 of the 25 preseason ranked teams listed in the College Basketball is Less than a Month Away post. You may notice that some of these teams are going up against scrub DI programs leaving the point spread absent, unfortunately. However, some are present! These may presume to be the “tighter” match-ups. For instance, North Florida is visiting the “IZZO ZONE” at Michigan State (2nd). I really like the play on North Florida right here simply because the Spartans recently went against a DII opponent and squeaked by with a lousy eight point win. Certainly not a win in Tom Izzo’s book. Make a play on North Florida tonight at 7:00pm CST as 31 and a half point dogs.
Some of the Top 25 teams are not “action eligible” simply because the odds makers have little to no information on the opposing scrubs. The best way to make some money tonight though is to find a loop hole and exploit it. How do we do this? First, sorry to inform you, but you will be needing to do some research. It is possible to gather intel on mid-major programs. Key factors to look for: Do they have any big time transfers? Are they senior heavy? Did they have a good season last year? If you can find some of these boosters, and mix that with an overrated preseason program, then you have a winning equation!
To cash out on your NCAAB plays, you must first understand that the odds makers cannot cover the vast realm that is college hoops. Let’s put it this way; compared to the NBA, odds makers have only 30 teams to worry about and really hone in on. For NCAAB, they have over 200 DI schools to study up on. 99.9999999% of the time, there will be a game that was over/under looked (however you want to look at it). And that is where you will be able to steal a win and cash out big! You can be the your own odds maker with as much research you may choose to conduct on one particular match-up. Point being, there are simply not enough hours in the day for odds makers to focus in on all of the match-ups for that particular day, it is simply impossible.
Once the seasons’ wheels begin to turn and we get into conference play, understand the importance of home court advantage and revenge match-ups. The majority of conferences schedule each teams to play twice each year (one at home and one on the road). The best plays to make occur after a team losing a heart breaker on the road, then later presented with a second stab at that same opponent on their home court. Just keep in mind that these are unpredictable teenagers that run on emotions. Home court advantage is monumental (especially in rivalry games). Also, do not ever think that one team is so good that they will always cover the spread. Do not be afraid to bet against these preseason Top 25 teams. Who knows what they are actually made of.
I would also like to leave you with this side note. Last season, I bet a few NCAAB games at the beginning of the season; much like today. Some won, some lost. Anyways, I was very impresed with my Boise State pick and their team as a whole. So what did I do? Much like a heater in Craps, I let em’ ride! That’s right, I made plays on the Broncos of Boise State about 6 or 7 more times until they finally did not cover the spread. They were on some run man… They were MY team for a while. Point being, find YOUR team this NCAAB season!